Mets Make Offer To Matz

According to Anthony DiComo the Mets have made an offer to Steven Matz. Matz coming off a solid year with the Blue Jays, after the Mets traded him for Sean Reid-Foley, Yennsy Diaz and Josh Winkowski during last off-season.

The Baseball Nerd

Matz went 14-7 with a 3.82 ERA over 150.2 innings in 2021. Over that span he pitched to a 3.79FIP and 1.33 WHIP. While his strikeout numbers went down to 8.6 per nine, he also had a career low 1.1 homeruns per nine. That coming in the AL East is worth noting.

In 2021 Matz limited hard hit contact and featured a solid walk rate. His barrel percentage against went from 13.5 in to 7 in 2021, which was in the 61 percentiles.

The 30 year old got some great success with his two main pitches as his Change-up and Sinker combined for a minus 18 run value. His breaking stuff on the other hand combined for plus 10 run value.

The Mets will have enough competition for Matz services as he had around 8 offers to choose from. I personally would like to see the Mets go a different direction than Matz and go with an arm like Jon Gray at the back end of the rotation. But with the starting pitching market going so fast, it’s go time.

Other MLB News:

The LA Angels signed former Met Aaron Loup to a 2 year 17 mil dollar deal with a 7.5 mil dollar third year option.

The San Francisco Giants made a couple of moves to keep rotation arms. Anthony DiSclafani and Alex Wood stay in San Francisco.

Photo Credit: New York Post on Twitter

Carlos Carrasco Threw. Felt Pretty Good

Carlos Carrasco said in a Zoom meeting that he threw from 75 feet. He said he felt pretty good. When asked if he is ready for his first turn in the rotation, he responded “I am ready”.

Encouraging news after Carrasco experienced early spring elbow soreness. The righty will be a big part of the Mets rotation behind deGrom.

This news will make the battle for the 5th starter spot even more interesting, between Yamamoto, Lucchesi and today’s starter Peterson.

Photo from NY Post Twitter

I liked this addition… here’s why I don’t anymore: Villar

When the Mets first signed Jonathan Villar, I thought “tight!”. I thought it was a great depth move that was made for a cheap $3.5M, even with Luis Guillorme on the roster. On the surface, what we see with Villar is a player that plays multiple positions, swipes a ton of bags, and hit more than 20 HR’s just a couple of years ago.

For anyone that says Villar is a great defender has unfortunately been fooled by a handful of clips in which the man goes all out. I love it, I love the effort, however the metrics just don’t match the little bit of flash we’ve seen in clips.

But then another super utility-man, Marwin Gonzalez signed a one year contract with the Boston Red Sox worth $3M. But what’s the big deal?

The big deal here is in the metrics. Remember, metrics like these are used in all the top clubs across the league.

With Jonathan Villar, the Mets got a player that’s in the bottom of the league when it comes to OAA (Outs Above Average). Not just around the bottom, but Villar is scraping against the bottom of the barrel.

Baseball Savant

Let’s backtrack a little bit here… So, Villar signed a deal worth $3.5M with added on incentives, so on and so on.

Now let’s take a look at Boston Red Sox’ Marwin Gonzalez’ metrics.

Baseball Savant

Does Gonzalez sprint as fast as Villar? No. Is he better at just about every other aspect of his game? The metrics tell us yes. He hits the ball harder and he tends to strike out less while also walking more. Not to mention he’s at the top of the league when it comes to OAA.

So while the Mets signed Villar for $3.5M, the Red Sox may have gotten the better player for half-a-mil cheaper. This is obviously that’s something that’s debatable, but the metrics say that Gonzalez is the better player with the better upside in 2021.

Photo from ESPN