Mets Trade Target: Carlos Carrasco

The Mets missed out on both Blake Snell and Yu Darvish. The Padres were able to acquire both of those pitchers in less than 24 hours without having to give up any of their top farm assets. This seems to be the trend in baseball after the 2020 pandemic season. Teams are looking to dump salary for what I like to refer to as “lottery ticket prospects” because you get a bunch of young prospects with upside and hope that at least one of them turns out to be a winning ticket.

It is no secret that the Indians are one of those teams who are looking to dump some salary. They have announced that they are hoping to trade Francisco Lindor, who is a free agent after the 2021 season. They also have a pretty good core of young pitchers and have been successful in developing arms from their farm. Porter should come up with a trade package similar to what the Padres have been doing to acquire Carlos Carrasco from the Indians.

Fangraphs.com

From 2014 to 2018, Carlos Carrasco has had a very good pitching career. Early in the 2019 season, the Venezuelan native was diagnosed with chronic myeloid leukemia, a treatable form of blood cancer. This caused him to miss some time, but he eventually did come back and serve in a bullpen role to finish the season. In 2020 he returned to the rotation and went back to being his dominant self.

Baseball Savant

Carlos Carrasco will be entering his age 34 season in 2021. He is signed through 2022 ($12 mil each year) with a club option in 2023 ($14 mil). His contract comes with the following incentives: $1 million kicker if he is traded after the 2019 season; Cy Young bonuses (2021-2022), $2 million if he wins, $1 million for a 2nd and 3rd place vote, $750,000 for 4th or 5th place, $500,000 for 6th to 10th place.

The Mets can afford to trade some of their middle tier prospects to get Carrasco. I would not use any of the top 10 Mets farm pieces but could see a combination of “lottery ticket” prospects and a young MLB talent to trade for Carrasco.

Mets top 30 Prospect via MLB.com

The Indians could tap into Kilome and perhaps turn him into an average starter or maybe a good bullpen addition. There’s still some good upside to him as my buddy Corne has discussed on our Podcast. Junior Santos and Freddy Valdez are both also have a lot of helium but need a few more years of conditioning and training in the minors to refine their tools. At 6’8″ and only 19, Santos has an explosive fastball. He just needs to work on his secondary pitches and learn to mix them in, but there’s a large ceiling here. Freddy Valdez is another example of a big physical presence who is projected to be a power hitting potential with a strong arm in the outfield.

Baseballtradevalues.com

This trade would not cost the Mets much in terms of farm value and they can find a decent affordable pitcher with a veteran presence to compliment the Mets starting rotation. I know people would react to this and say “no thanks, he has cancer” but I think trading for him is definitely a low-risk option with high rewards since he is not going to cost the Mets too much. He proved in 2020 that he still can be dominant and he would be fairly cheap for the Mets for the next 2-3 years.

(Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

8 comments

  1. Carrasco is a nice addition but 3 prospects no, Kilome no. Maybe Kilome 1 for 1. Hes TJ guy with a lot of potential…. A straight salary dump fine but anything else no.

    You are either holding on to your kids or youre not. You cant say its Dec 29, Im bored screw the prospects and the organizational philosophy, or you dont have an organizational philosophy.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Interesting. That would probably be more likely if Carrasco was a rental player, but Mets would have him 2-3 years of control.

      Like

      1. Stop! Are you paying attention? 34 year old who has only pitched more than 150 innings 3 times in his career. Give up three prospects and throw a three year deal at him. Terrible

        Like

  2. Agreed! This is a team with deep pitching talent, need at OF & 1B and a cash crunch. What would a Lindor + Carrasco + Quantrill or even Plesac trade look like? Didn’t Plesac get in hot water for breaking quarantine? We could offer Amed, JD & Nimmo. I don’t want to lose Dom, but I’m sure he’d get the trade done. That would add $30m, plus $25 for Springer. We’d have enough left for Kiké, but not Sugano or JBJ.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: