Pete Alonso 2021 predictions and projection

By Angelina and Del

Rotochamp.com

Angelina’s take: Mets fans everywhere all are excited to see how First Baseman Pete Alonso will fare in 2021, so we’ve put together a few things you should expect to see out of him in the upcoming season.

Rotochamp has Pete Alonso with 44 home runs and 108 batted in on the year with a .252 batting average and an .349 OBP Here’s their projections.

I personally agree somewhat with this. I expect Alonso to hit over 44 home runs, I’m going to say 45. I expect Alonso to drive in 115 runs with a .350 OBP with a .539 SLG.

Here’s a look at Alonso over the past two seasons as a New York Met. In 2019, Alonso hit 53 home runs, 120 RBI’s with a .231 batting average, also sporting a .358 OBP. He totaled for 103 runs.

In the 2020 COVID-19 shortened season, Alonso hit 16 home runs, drove in 35 runs, with a .231 batting average and .236 OBP. He also put up for 31 runs.

The sky is the limit for Alonso, who only saw regression in 2020 due to setting the bar too high in his rookie year.

Del’s take: How can anyone ever forget what a monumental season Pete Alonso had in 2019! The kid set all kinds of records and NY went bonkers for Alonso as he was crowned the HR Derby champion, MLB HR Leader (59), surpassed a cross-town rival for most single season HR by a Rookie, finished 7th in MVP votes and took home the NL Rookie of the Year award.

The reigning HR champ struggled to repeat these numbers in 2020 and fell victim to the dreaded sophomore slump during the 60 game shorten season. However he did have some great performances, lets not forget the kid was able to lead the team in HR (16) and had not ONE, not TWO, but THREE 2-HR games! He finished 3rd in the NL behind the red hot Tatis Jr (17 HR) and Ozuna (18 HR) and 7th over all in MLB.

Rotochamp projections have Alonso bouncing back from the 2020 season. While their projections don’t have him putting up video game numbers in 2021, it does show a strong sign of regression to his 2020 numbers. I expect opposing pitchers will respect him and his ability to absolutely demolish the ball and therefore I expect Alonso to draw more walks than the Rotochamp projections, which will impact his OBP. Alonso was a .290 hitter in 3 season of MiLB so I do not see his batting average dropping down as low as rotochamp shows. He was able to hit .260 in his amazing 2019 season, I think he can do it again.

RHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPSBBK
9749115.260.355.535.89085170

In conclusion, I expect Alonso to put up MVP numbers while batting clean up in an improved Steve Cohen Mets line up. I also see him placing in the MLB top 5 in HR and top 10 in RBI. He won the minor league HR title in 2018, and then was in a three way tie for 6 HR during the 2018 Arizona Fall League. The fact of the matter is that Alonso has a sweet approach and annihilate the baseball when he makes contact. I see him becoming much more patient in 2021 as most hitters do when they mature. Alonso has a winning attitude and is a major club house presence. He’ll bounce back and continue to be one of the feared hitters in baseball as his career progresses.

(Photo by Alex Trautwig/MLB Photos via Getty Images)

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